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Who Benefits From Kerry’s Withdrawal?

January 25th, 2007 at 04:22pm Geraldine

Now that John Kerry has decided he isn’t running again for President, it’s worth exploring who stands to gain and what impact it will make on the caucuses. One poll done nationally shows relatively little impact for any candidate.  However, among donors, there’s a clear shift from Kerry to Obama. As the New York Times notes, a lot of his big donors are already getting behind Obama and Chris Cilizza sees Obama as a big winner as well.

However, in Iowa, it’s curious to see what happens to the pockets of support that the Senator still had, such as among the Hawkeye Labor Council in Cedar Rapids. It would be curious to see where those people go, especially since if one still supported Senator Kerry now, they were a real hardcore supporter. But it’s also worth remembering what was perhaps the high point of Kerry’s abortive 2008 campaign, his speech here in Grinnell in May which drew nearly 1000 people. It may not have drawn as much media attention as his low point but it’s still worth remembering.

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